The May 8, issue of Newsweek has an article titled Iran: A Rummy Guide.
It lays out the case that Iran may not even be trying to make nuclear weapons and even if they are, they're a long way from completing it.
Even Bush's own people are skeptical of any imminent nuclear threat:
Last month in Washington, top aides to U.S. intelligence czar John Negroponte
told reporters they believe Iran will not have a nuclear bomb until after 2010,
at the earliest.
I would hope, as a country, we would be a little more cynical, this time, about Bush's desire to solve another country's imaginary WMD capabilities by military force. We do have past experience to go on, this time.
Yet it's also true that no solid evidence has ever been revealed linking
Iran's known nuclear program to the actual development or production of nuclear
"Are there secret facilities? I don't think so," says Gary Samore,
nonproliferation expert in the Clinton administration, who recently wrote a
major study of Iran's WMD programs. "Look, if there were, Iran would be very
foolish to provoke acrisis over its known facilities. Their best course would be
to soothe everyone by allowing the IAEA to monitor those, while secretly working
away in the clandestine plants." Joseph Cirincione at the Carnegie Endowment is
equally skeptical. "There's not a scintilla of evidence," he says. "Is it
possible? Yes. Is it possible Iran has a base on the moon? Yes."